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Amid Malaysia's Sensational Political Drama, Anwar Has Momentum for Now PDF Print
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Thursday, 10 July 2008 09:27

Anwar has skillfully rebuilt his public life since he was released from jail in July 2004 after serving a six-year sentence for corruption and sodomy. The latter charge was ultimately dropped, thus the widespread sense of disbelief surrounding the latest allegations.

Luke Hunt, World Politics Review

In the Malaysian capital of Kuala Lumpur July 6, 20,000 supporters of former deputy prime minister Anwar Ibrahim braved a police ban to rally in support of the opposition leader, who has been charged with sodomy on the basis of allegations lodged by a 23-year-old former male aide. Anwar claims the charges are baseless, an attempt by the ruling party to thwart his political ambitions.

Anwar supporters chanted "PM resign" as protesters arrived at a suburban sports stadium. The political turmoil erupted at elections earlier this year amid claims by Anwar that he was poised to oust the government of Prime Minister Abdullah Badawi.

"I vow we will fight and struggle until the Pakatan Rakyat becomes the next government of Malaysia," Anwar said at the rally, according to dispatches, in reference to his three-party opposition alliance. "The people are desperate but the government is happy."

Security was tight throughout the day and there were no reports of violence. However, some objections were lodged after a rock singer bared his behind while performing on stage.

It was just the latest turn of events in a remarkable comeback for Anwar, whose resurrection from the political abyss and talk about his leadership prospects have sent government boffins scurrying, nostalgic for the days of Mahathir Mohammad, who once ruled virtually unchallenged.

Anwar has skillfully rebuilt his public life since he was released from jail in July 2004 after serving a six-year sentence for corruption and sodomy. The latter charge was ultimately dropped, thus the widespread sense of disbelief surrounding the latest allegations.

Those who have known Anwar since his days at university credit the 60-year-old with a personal savvy that helped win him a broad support base he would carry with him through later political life, and a toughness that helped him survive beatings, a six-year jail term and more than a decade in the political wilderness.

"On campus he was like a chameleon, he had a way of appeasing everybody. One minute he was addressing and winning the hearts of Islamic radicals, the next minute he was working on the much-more-moderates and winning them over too. The problem is, we never quite knew what he actually stood for," one former student told World Politics Review.

Now he's back, hollering louder than ever and leaving no doubt where he stands, accusing Prime Minister Abdullah of corruption, incompetence, and moral bankruptcy, and threatening to tip the ruling National Front out of office.

Even the latest allegations of sodomy -- a criminal offense in mostly-Muslim Malaysia -- made by the former aid in late June, have failed to dampen his push for the top job.

The charges prompted Anwar to seek sanctuary in the Turkish embassy, saying he feared for his life. He says the accusations never happened, while observers say they may only have added further fuel to the bonfire he hopes to light.

Anwar told the recent rally: "Believe me, what was alleged 10 years ago is being repeated with malice and slander, and I will not accept this but will fight it to the end."

According to the latest opinion polls most Malays believe him.

One survey by the news Web site Malayskini found 94.4 percent of respondents believed the allegations were politically motivated. Another by the Merdeka Centre was less emphatic, with 60 percent believing the charges were politically motivated. But the same poll found just 6 percent of people surveyed believed the sodomy allegations were true.

Anwar supporters have always claimed the trials of a decade ago were politically motivated after Mahathir sacked Ibrahim as his deputy at the height of the Asian financial crisis.

Next Page: A falling out with Mahathir . . .


Anwar had been vocal in his support for reform, or reformasi, and claimed that corruption stretched through the upper echelons of government. The reformist spirit resulted in his falling out of favor with Mahathir, the man he once seemed destined to replace as leader of United Malay National Organisation (UMNO) and prime minister of the country.

Ten years later and Mahathir has gone, although he too has become a scathing critic of Abdullah.

Anwar's comeback took off during elections four months ago, when the National Front -- led by the UMNO -- suffered badly at the March 8 polls. The ruling coalition lost its two-thirds majority in the 222-seat parliament and control of five state governments. It was the worst performance since independence in 1957.

The drubbing had led to calls for Abdullah to resign, even though his government still holds an overwhelming majority, and to Anwar claiming he had enough clout to prompt defections within the UMNO ranks and bring down the government.

A loose coalition of opposition parties, the People's Alliance, headed by Anwar, has 82 seats and needs 30 defections before a new government can be formed. It's a tall order and the battleground has shifted from the streets of Kuala Lumpur and the Malaysian peninsula to the 42 seats representing the eastern states of Sabah and Sarawak on the island of Borneo.

It's there that Malaysia's economic problems are most actutely felt.

Like many developing countries, Malaysia has heavily subsidized the cost of fuel and is now hemorrhaging cash as the cost of crude continues to hit record highs.

Efforts to rein in government spending are hurting the poor even more. In June alone, the price of fuel soared 41 percent, and many poor Malays in the country's east feel they have been largely ignored by national politicians.

The area is rich in gas and oil deposits, and Anwar has offered state governments a 20 percent share of royalties compared with the 5 percent they currently receive. The government has partly responded by lowering the cost of cooking gas, and observers see a bidding war emerging for political support of the region.

It is among the ranks of politicians from the east that Anwar may have secretly negotiated the defections his coalition would need to capture power. But for the moment, he's not saying who among the ruling coalition has promised to join him.

Anger over energy prices was evident at the stadium Sunday, where the protest was billed as an "anti-inflation rally" and many demonstrators wore bandanas emblazoned with the words "No Price Hike."

While energy costs are galvanizing opposition to the ruling party, backroom political dramas involving sensational allegations of murder by a potential successor to Abdullah, deputy premier Najib Razak, have also gripped the nation and are not doing UMNO any favors.

A private investigator, Balasubramaniam Perumal, has linked Najib to a Mongolian woman, a model who was murdered in 2006. Najib's friend has been charged with abetting the murder.

During a press conference last week organized by Anwar, Balasubramaniam claimed in a sworn statement he had given police critical information that was never raised at the trial for the murder of Altantuya Shaaribuu. Najib has angrily denied ever meeting the woman.

A day later, Balasubramaniam retracted his claims, saying he had made them under duress. Later, the nephew of Balasubramaniam filed a missing person's report, saying his uncle and family were missing. International help has been sought by Interpol.

Amid all the legal and political drama, it appears for now that Anwar has the momentum. But whether he has the numbers to topple Badawi and Najib only he and time can tell.

Luke Hunt is a Hong Kong-based Australian journalist and a regular World Politics Review contributor.

Comments (10)Add Comment
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written by technoboy, July 10, 2008 09:36:18
Yeah, DSAI keep the momentum going and don't be distracted by rotten BN/UMNO politicians, their evil scheme is clear and the rakyat knows it very well, they cannot influence and change our views so easily, what sodomy, it was BN/UMNO who have sodomized ordinary Malaysians for their own selfish gains starting from the days of TDM.
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written by arazak, July 10, 2008 10:10:01
"One survey by the news Web site Malayskini found 94.4 percent of respondents believed the allegations were politically motivated. Another by the Merdeka Centre was less emphatic, with 60 percent believing the charges were politically motivated. But the same poll found just 6 percent of people surveyed believed the sodomy allegations were true".
_______________________________________________________ ______________________

Whatever Najis and Sayfool conspired had been an effort in futile. Whatever too the spin doctors at the Ministry of Disinformation and the main stream media (MSM)are doing will also be an effort in futile! In fact it works in the opposite direction. The damage inflicted to themselves is irreversable.

Najib, Sayfool and the MSM together will be the "catalyst" for UMNO/BN government downfall. This chemistry works well. . ., it is good for the Malaysian rakyaat too as we will see the end of a tyrant government.

God works in miracle ways. It made the accused more credible than the accuser
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written by indianputra, July 10, 2008 10:21:05
Logic demands that either Anwar kill off BN Government IMMEDIATELY or he play a second fiddle to Wan Azizah and Lim Kit Siang. As days pass bye, problems with Anwar as a person is the major factor - not PR forming a new Government. If Anwar cannot form a PR Government immediately, he is going to loose more in days to come, there will be more mud slinging and he may even be charged in court (innocent or not) by the BN backed police... and once that happens, the dream of PR Government will be delayed or even lost.

It will be better that Wan Azizah, Lim Kit Siang and Nik Aziz move on the agenda of toppling the BN Government. They have enough credibility to achieve this mission. They should take over the leadership of PR and institute action plans to get rid of BN.

I know I am in dangerous waters and will receive brickbats from other readers in MT. But just think for a moment if Anwar is an asset for PR RIGHT NOW?
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written by zul4kulim, July 10, 2008 10:27:20
Undi Tidak percaya pada isnin ini...http://1426.********.com/2008/...in-14.html
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written by ctchoolaw, July 10, 2008 10:33:29
KEEP POWERING ON, ANWAR! http://ctchoolaw.********.com/
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written by PASOK, July 10, 2008 10:35:41
Indianputra

Interesting and valid point.

The problem is that neither of the three have the charisma and leadership quality of DSAI. DSAI is a symbol as much as a person. He is the one acceptable by all - meaning the DAP and PAS and of course PKR.

What is really needed is to rally around DSAI. Dont dump him now. Dont talk like he is a liability. He is the leader and he has been viciously attacked and if we have any principles we should double our resolve to support him.
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written by zul4kulim, July 10, 2008 11:08:56
14 julai - undi tidak percaya diusulkan http://1426.********.com/2008/...in-14.html
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written by ahmadneil, July 10, 2008 11:09:53
Anwar keep on scoring points whereas umno keep on giving him points.Thanks
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written by Milo, July 10, 2008 18:41:53
Rentap, we are already living in a queer nation with sick minds like yours who cannot see. This is the reason the rakyat wants change. Even if DSAI is not so perfect, he is a risk the rakyat is willing to take because he is currently the ONLY one around with the overall requisite quality to lead the nation!
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