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Some lessons from Bagan Pinang PDF Print
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Monday, 12 October 2009 22:10

Naturally, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak would like to claim that this by-election victory was an endorsement of 1 Malaysia but it was not. It was a by-election in Negeri Sembilan where BN won because it had a superior candidate and superior machinery.

The Malaysian Insider

Mohd Isa Samad was always going to romp home a winner in the Bagan Pinang by-election. And not because the constituents were swayed by the 1 Malaysia slogan. Or because Port Dickson was declared an army town.

Outside PD and, arguably, much of Negri Sembilan, he is a flawed character, a politician found guilty of buying political success.

But within the radius of the seaside resort, Isa is remembered as the long-serving Mentri Besar who used to play sepak takraw with youth in the area, who built new roads and who did not quite fit the template of the arrogant Umno warlord.

The debate on what contributed to his thumping victory and the consequences will continue for a while but here are some early lessons that can be drawn from the by-election – Barisan Nasional’s first triumph in West Malaysia since Election 2008.

• Power of the local machinery

Analyses by Umno shows that between 11 and 15 seats may have been “lost’’ in Election 2008 due to internal squabbling at division level and sabotage over the choice of the election candidate.

This disease has coursed through the veins of Umno for many years and was also seen during the Permatang Pasir by-election where disagreement over the choice of Rohaizat Othman as the candidate led to local Umno officials staying home during the campaign period.

No such problems cropped up in Bagan Pinang because Isa was a popular choice. The divisional officials wanted him as the candidate, as did the rank and file. The result: a formidable local election machine backed by the usual firepower from the federal government.

In contrast, Parti Islam SeMalaysia (PAS) did not have a strong local structure in Bagan Pinang. There are only four branches in the constituency and seven altogether in the Telok Kemang parliamentary constituency.

This shortcoming was fatal for the Opposition which was over reliant on help from outside the state to galvanise the election machinery. Even till the last few hours before polling closed, PAS officials were unable to predict the outcome of the election.

Lessons learnt: When Umno members embrace the candidate wholeheartedly and work together, the party remains a formidable opponent. PAS is very strong in the Malay belt but it has some way to go in states beyond Selangor.

READ MORE HERE

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written by rajaphillips, October 12, 2009 22:21:11
Now that this "buy election" has been won by Umno, they will say everything and anything to make themselves look good esp through RTM, NST, TV3 and Utusan. But then, with thousands of postal votes thrown in, is it really a victory? If they really have the guts, remove postal voting and then talk. Only then will people respect their victory. On the other hand, the Opposition deserve praise for winning against all the odds in all the previous by elections and for reducing the BN majority. Put Umno in the Opposition and they will all die in just 24 hours. Umno is a weak party with weak, spoonfed scroungers and parasites. SUch pariahs don't last long in the wilderness.
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written by axppin, October 12, 2009 23:00:33
Because of 1Malaysia? Really?? Come on laa. That is an insult to intelligence ok. It would have been more believable if you had said that the win was due to the absence of Kera Jantan meddling in the choice of candidate.

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written by Hakim Joe, October 12, 2009 23:04:00
What did I tell you people? We needed TDM to campaign in BP!!! If TDM made an appearance (as he did in the past last 7 Peninsula by-elections), I'm sure that PR would have won.

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written by Hakim Joe, October 12, 2009 23:11:35
One thing’s for sure…if I was a businessman living in BP, I’d stock up my supply of beer and toddy. The alcohol business will be booming these few days.

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written by rocky, October 12, 2009 23:41:55
1Malaysia..haha. It was Isa la. He is well liked by the locals and he speaks the local lingo and has no air when meeting locals like many big shots from UMNO/BN. and on top of that UMNO/BN threw goodies.

PR and PAS in particular need to come to realisation that support can switch if you do not get your act together. Hasan may do everything he can to bring PR selangor down indirectly but it will not happen this term. Next GE, he may find himself and at least couple of his PAS ADUNs, out of a seat. Hasan may survive but by then UMNO will not even look at him if they are able to take over the govt. Hadi Awang needs to come clean together with his deputy on how PAS is going to work cos TGNA is clear but these 2 with Hasan are playing another game which UMNO will play them out. and PAS should give up seats south of Selangor minus a couple cos there is very little support for them more so when they lose the non muslims support due to wayang kulit by Hasan and his backers. PAS remember 1999 vs 2004. BN needs to remember 1999 vs 2008. Support can change and being popular with the most than one particular race will be more beneficial. Bell curve theory works for politics.

PKR needs to clean house as there are a few turncoats within them. Better to have quality vs quantity.DAP time to clear any infighting and make sure penang works cos penang is an example for PR.Selangor shoule be the example but alas Hasan is screwing things up. Khalid and Hadi should fire Hasan like right now. Let him walk and any part of PAS that wants to walk with Hasan.

wake up PR.
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written by Fuminari, October 12, 2009 23:47:54
pathetic,it shows n reflects that corruption is a way of life,a tool to live n not a moral concerned for large portion of malaysian.u get what u sow.
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written by Enforcer, October 12, 2009 23:50:15
Don't cry over spilled milk and stop the blaming game. Remember, to blame is to shame!
How do you expect PR to move any forward at all if the whole machinery doesn't gel like the pistons firing from a F1 engine!
Please, all the HOD's in all three components, PAS,DAP,PKR, come to a consensus/common platform for the sake of the RAKYAT asap!
By delaying, will only cause the momentum of the last tsunami to subside, thus resulting in the failure of GE 13, ie to rid of the GOONS!
Everyone knows the story of David and Goliath.
ISA is the Goliath in BP. Question is, did David(PR) do a SWOT analysis?
Did the heads of PR study the situation or just falling back on the allocated seats within the PR!
Yes, seat allocation is necessary, but at times, situational circumstances makes the former a guide! Remember, PR MUST BE A UNITED FAMILY for GE 13 TO MATERIALISE!
Do not belittle the MIGHT of the PEOPLE'S POWER!
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written by gondrong, October 13, 2009 00:45:46
PR!!! Please start now! forget the small and rubbish issues! We don't hear BN quarrel among themselves on the small and rubbish issues! PR PLEASE START NOW!! WE DON'T WANT THIS KIND OF RESULT IN NEXT G.E!! WE WANT YOU TO WIN!!! PLEASEEEEEE!!![ smilies/sad.gif smilies/cry.gif
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written by parsona, October 13, 2009 01:00:21
PR loss because of the cheapness and/or ignorance of the voters. Even when we thought Kugan and the Section 22 temple would kill off Indian votes for BN, we were dead wrong. Why? Because the voters there were cheap. Standard BN promises of development, abit of Deepavali ang pau, and Indians give their cheap votes to BN. Chinese? Theres just no explanation other that they are just plain stupid, giving in to intimidation. Malays? Under Najib, we will see rural malays becoming increasingly racist. They will slowly take away power from MCA and MIC, giving more foothold to UMNO, and thereby giving strength to their shouts of malay supremacy. BN will attempt to increase their brainwashing activity of the malays, legitimizing and encouraging racism while telling the world about the harmonious 1Malaysia.

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written by franco, October 13, 2009 09:47:40
Amongst other factor contributed to PR loss is the internal conflict amongst PR Parties successfully potrayed by BN for the last several months. People hate to see the divide and set a high hope of common course. People hope to see PR as a real alternative to BN. People can understand the differences but it has to be resolved on the discussion table not the media.

Let Bagan Pinang be the lesson and shall never be assumed that it was Isa's credibility but wihout BN machinery Isa's shall be no where near victory.

One thing that PR Leaders should remember Rakyat CAN CHANGE. Rakyat CAN THINK. So let us not dispoint Rakyat while letting BN to manipulate every single opportunity laid by PR to them.

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written by temenggong, October 13, 2009 12:11:31
Hakim Joe, there is going to be a lot of divorces, second marriages and incest in the coming months in Bagan Pinang. I suggest you take your holidays in Morib! smilies/grin.gif
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written by temenggong, October 13, 2009 12:11:31
Hakim Joe, there is going to be a lot of divorces, second marriages and incest in the coming months in Bagan Pinang. I suggest you take your holidays in Morib! smilies/grin.gif
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written by Steven Ong, October 13, 2009 21:14:20
Human beings are till now the same old self from the beginning of time, for some, from Adam and Eve. All they want is a piece of the cake that was prepared for them. Ever notice at a birthday party? Everyone would wait in line for a small piece of the cake. Some would even come back for a second piece. Is it very good and tasty? Most of them are very sweet. Well, that is the good thing in the cake.

So is it in an election for a government. What did the people want? Are they chosing the most moral and honest man? Or are they voting for the man who can give them their piece of cake? More often, people vote for their own desire first. If their desire is more money, then they vote for a guy who can bring them. Or if their desire is a religious state, then they would vote for it. Or a communist state then they shall vote for a commusnist state. That is how money ( capitalist ) religious or communist state were voted to power or for some grapped the power.

PR came to power because the people in these area desired a change and hope that PR would be different and give them their desire. A desire for accountability, efficiency and transparency. Have their dreams been fulfil? If 'yes', they would continue to support PR, if not they would reject Pr in the next round. As for Bagan Pinang, Isa is their man who could fulfil their desire. What did Isa stand for? That is their desire.
Well, man have and will always live as their bodies and mind leads them, when it should be the spirits. That we have not live as we should as most religions call us to be. We have failed and the time is near for a correction.
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