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Poll finds KT vote still too close to call PDF Print
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Tuesday, 13 January 2009 17:50

A majority of Malay respondents did not feel there were any threats to their community's political dominance, even after the results of the general election last March. Instead the Malay voters appeared to be more concerned with the corruption of political leaders.

By Leslie Lau, The Malaysian Insider

The Kuala Terengganu by-election remains too close to call, even as the campaign reaches the home stretch, but an independent poll released today suggests the major issue for voters is the "quality of the candidate" while hudud and perceived threats to Malay dominance have little currency.

According to the Merdeka Centre for Opinion Research, the Malay vote was evenly split with about 8 per cent undecided, while the Chinese are leaning slightly towards Pakatan Rakyat (PR).

There were also marked differences in Malay and Chinese voters' sentiment. The Malays, who make up a majority in the constituency, appeared to see Islam as a major issue, while the Chinese, considered an important swing vote, consider equality an important factor.

A majority of Malay respondents did not feel there were any threats to their community's political dominance, even after the results of the general election last March. Instead the Malay voters appeared to be more concerned with the corruption of political leaders.

While this Saturday's poll will not make any significant difference to the balance of power in Parliament, it is considered crucial for PR to reinvigorate its flagging momentum while Barisan Nasional (BN) will want to press home a victory to reinforce its believe that it has recovered from the poor results of the last general election.

The Merdeka Centre survey found that a majority of voters in the Malay-majority constituency felt that things in the country and state of Terengganu were headed in the right direction.

But a significant number of respondents also felt that a win for a non-BN candidate could send a signal to the government for change.

However, upon closer scrutiny the survey found that Chinese voter sentiments were more subdued, with respect to the direction of the country, only 36per cent of Chinese respondents agreed that it was in "the right direction" and were split at 50per cent with respect to the direction of the state of Terengganu.

At the same time, 70per cent of Malay voters said that "things were in the right direction" for the state of Terengganu.

When given a list of issues that they feel government should pay attention to, respondents chose "controlling inflation" (21per cent), "strengthening the position of Islam" (26per cent) and "bringing continued development" (16per cent) as most important. Among Chinese voters however, 51per cent wanted the government "to treat non-Malay communities more fairly" and a further 11per cent cited "fighting corruption".

"Reflecting perhaps the developments surrounding the selection of the respective contesting candidates, the survey found that voters were more intense in considering candidate quality over other factors such as issues, contesting parties or party leaders," the Merdeka Centre said in a press release accompanying the results of the survey.

The survey was conducted by telephone with 527 registered voters. A total of 407 of the respondents were Malays while 119 were Chinese. The poll was conducted between January 7 and January 11.

The survey found that 80per cent of voters remarked candidate quality as "very important" as opposed to 59per cent and 71per cent for current issues and party capability, respectively.

Among the Chinese respondents however, the issue of fair treatment for non-Bumiputras appeared to have strong currency.

75per cent strongly or somewhat agreed that by electing a non-BN candidate, the community could send a strong signal to the BN ruling government.

To another question, 56per cent of Chinese respondents and 46per cent of Malay respondents agreed that voting for the Pakatan Rakyat could push the BN government to "correct itself".

The issue of Hudud captured the notice of only one-half of the Chinese voters in Kuala Terengganu. Only 18per cent of the Chinese voters interviewed remarked that the issue plays a "very important", while a further 32per cent saying "somewhat important" role in the election.

The survey found that issues pertaining to perceived threats to Malay political power did not resonate in the Malay dominant constituency. Only 17per cent agreed that "Malay political power was weakened by demands made by non Malay communities after the March 8th 2008 general elections" while 74per cent felt that "Malay political power was weakened by corrupt and self serving leaders".

The Merdeka Centre said it found it difficult to ascertain the voting intention of voters in the district at the time the poll was conducted.

"Based on observations on the data collected, the survey believes that the Malay vote at the point in time the survey was conducted to be split with a small margin of voters, perhaps around 8per cent still remaining undecided. Tendencies among Chinese voters were also difficult to gauge but observations on responses towards issues indicate a slight leaning in favour of the opposition."

Comments (12)Add Comment
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written by mountain man, January 13, 2009 17:56:50
Dear All KT voters, exercise your precious one vote very carefully, PLEASE DON'T waste it on those corrupted liars from UMNO who are up to no good except enriching themselves, their families and friends.
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written by SocratesI, January 13, 2009 18:13:12
The voters won't reply honestly to the survey for fear of reprisals, especially the Chinese. Reading between the lines, I would gauge a 8,000 - 10,000 victory for Wahid Endut of PAS. Anyone wants to bet against that
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written by Rashid, January 13, 2009 18:20:43
This poll though ambigous suggests a PR win, that's why the Merdeka Opinion is ambigous as it and was in crucial stages including Permatang Pauh where it is findings were repudiated by Anwar getting a bigger majority and the Malays showing their distaste for the primate politics of Umno (sodomy). The Merdeka was also wrong in its evaluation of the March 08 election by a very wide margin. Now it gives a feeble attempt to state a PR victory and I hope that's a big win.
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written by amoker, January 13, 2009 19:39:36
This should be a middle class data. The spin is that BN and PAS is neck to neck but betcha that PAS is on the home straight.
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written by ahmadneil, January 13, 2009 19:59:23
This afternoon we went to the temple to consult the Medium and during his trance he said PAS will win big and I ask how big,he run through his fingers and then show me his palm.I said 500 only,he shake his head and point the second finger upwards.So I insist and he added another zero to the 500.I left after giving him a RM50 'angpow.'Could this be the figure.I bet it's
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written by clarity, January 13, 2009 20:06:48
People of KT. Thik carefully before yu vote. Don't have the Tiada Apa attitude like umno because the survival of your families depend on it. Compare it to the 5 states that PR won last year. Are they better off? Of course they are. Ask your friends living in those states. I live in Selangor and I have benefitted from paying less for water. Corruption is so much less.
Treat it as if those candidates are applying for a job and you are the interviewers. They are no big deal , those datos and tan sri's. You the interviewers are the big deal. First to compare is personality. Without that you can mix, you cannot be succesful. Has the umno applicant a good personality? No, he doesn't smile much. Sometimes even sour face. Wold you approach a person like that? So he is not approachable. Secondly, has he got a good record, experience and performance. Well, being a political secretary of the PM will proof to you that this applicant is certainly ot successful because the PM is being forced out. So what kind of a PM assistant did he turn out to be? And finally, you know in that party there is nothing but corruption otherwise why hand out hundreds of class F contracts a few days before the election? So please vote wisely. Vote for PAS. Yahoo!!!
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written by raven1958, January 13, 2009 20:51:35
Ini Merdeka survey boleh pakai ka...
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written by Fuminari, January 13, 2009 21:09:59
leslie lau,too close to call?? our RPK is betting on Pas,PR giving a 5000 handicap n he has not changed his mind yet!!!
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written by Sabahfan, January 13, 2009 21:18:00
Thats RIGHT, KT voters. If u are concerned about corruption then there is only one thing to do.
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written by No nonsense, January 13, 2009 22:21:43
We will see that the rampant corruption in BN will bring them down. It is a true fact that everyone knows about them and there will not be any hiding place. Even the people in KT realise that the BN gorv. is not clean so the result should be PAS WILL BE THE WINNER. Even the malays in KT realise what a type of gorv., BN is. Surely the result is already known. VOTE FOR PAS.
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written by savemalaysia, January 13, 2009 23:13:43
Tell me just what's new with the UMNO election machinery led by fatty Najis? UMNO just can't think out of the box in its election campaign. It sings the same old tune, same old intimidation, same old dishing out of goodies, same old dirty tactics, same old cash and projects inducement, same old manipulation of the mainstream media, same old pack of lies and pouring the same old scorn on their opponents.

Najis and UMNO are still living in yesteryears and thus totally out of tune with the intelligence of today's mature society. Najis and UMNO can kiss the KT by-election goodbye because the people wants a change for the better which it just can't reinvent.
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written by No nonsense, January 13, 2009 23:36:36
dear Socratest
Yes I want to bet. 8000 - 10,000 is too low maybe, 15,000. Want to bet?
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