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All the right moves but lost opportunities abound PDF Print
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Wednesday, 05 November 2008 13:14

NOV 5 - Tried and tested is probably the best description for the stimulus package announced by Prime Minister in waiting Datuk Seri Najib Razak yesterday. The package is unexciting overall but an extra RM7 billion is nothing to sneer at in times like these.

Similar measures have helped soften past hard landings for the economy -- boost the infrastructure and construction sectors, increase disposable income, keep the property sector afloat.

These helped Malaysia muddle through the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis ten years ago, and will probably work to some degree now.

But if the stimulus package is food for the body, the question that follows is what will Najib offer as food for the collective Malaysian soul?

When the Budget was unveiled in September the world was a much different place. People were bracing for more expensive fuel and dearer food, wondering how they were going to make ends meet in the face of rampant inflation.

Seven weeks later, the spiralling global financial crisis has cast different shadows on the immediate future. Falling house prices and toxic financial instruments have wreaked havoc in the US and UK, and threatened the stability of banks and insurance companies and roiled currencies around the world.

The price of oil has plunged, which has helped moderate inflation. But prices of commodities that Malaysia exports such as palm oil and rubber have nose-dived too.

Malaysia has been spared the worst so far, but confidence here is nonetheless low. The stimulus package offers the prospect of some immediate relief, but does little to alleviate a sense of "coulda, woulda, shoulda".

Now is probably not a good time to address some long-standing, deep-seated issues, but if we had done it when times were better, we might have built up some fat reserves against the lean times facing us tomorrow.

If only we had set a 10-year deadline in 2001 to reduce fuel subsidies to zero, we would probably have more than RM7 billion today to spend our way out of the approaching economic difficulties.

If only we had faced head on the protection for the national car Proton five years ago, we'd have cheaper cars now and more disposable income.

Years of high automotive tariffs on non-national cars has extracted a high cost in consumer welfare foregone and taken a toll on the economy.

Between 2001 and 2007, car buyers paid more than RM30 billion in duties and tariffs on the vehicles they bought. They forked out between RM9,000 and RM16,000 on average in taxes on each car purchased. And those who took car loans paid interest on those taxes.

Additional disposable income injected directly into the economy has a higher multiplier effect, so that money would probably have had a far bigger impact, in helping create jobs, say, than as development expenditure spent by the government. It would have more than made up for higher pump prices.

And it's probably too little, too late for Proton to say now it is ready to seek a foreign partner, when the world's car makers are slashing sales forecasts and seeking capital and financing.

If only the burden of the New Economic Policy on the economy could be addressed, and the ability of the country to compete on the global stage and attract foreign investment. But as recent events have shown, a thorough discussion on that issue is probably some way off.

If only we had made the most of opportunities as they came along, the country could perhaps have entered 2009 without a budget deficit which hampers attempts to spend our way out of a slowdown or recession.

Yesterday's stimulus package means the deficit will grow by a third, to 4.8 percent of gross domestic product, from the 3.1 percent announced in the Budget in September. And if a recession does strike, expect the deficit to swell further.

If only there was something that Najib could offer -- by way of commitment, of promises of a better future -- so Malaysians can see their way clear, not just for one year or the next, but for a long time to come.

Comments (9)Add Comment
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written by Tompios, November 05, 2008 14:00:13
If Obama now as a first African-American president, when Malaysia will have first Chinese, Indian, Kadazan, Iban or Non Malay Prime Minister? 2 million years from now?
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written by borneoman, November 05, 2008 14:01:55
eradicate corruptions and power abuse to -0% will be the first right step forward.
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written by maverick, November 05, 2008 14:44:12
so many 'if only' but sadly non will ever happen
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written by biggun129, November 05, 2008 14:57:28
Malaysian suffered because of too many 'If only'!!! If only Mahathir is not the PM, If only AAB is not the PM, If only Najib is not the PM, all 'If only'!!!Can we reform and speak aloud 'NO, not your way' but 'Our way', things will be different, 'If only' Majority of Malaysia can change, then we will not have the 'If only' anymore!!!Change the 'If only' like American, white is not neccessary a good colour, you can only see the light in the 'DARK'!!!That is American!!!
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written by smeagrooo, November 05, 2008 15:27:50
we can always try n hang onto this ketuanan shiat but come one day when we are conquered by some other nations, they will not give a hoot abt this thing. Go on la....feed the ego and play to their tune....save the tree but lose the forest.

see how many discrepancies the opposition MPs managed to find in the so called many mismanaged funds from the govt. You think diwmits will know how to look for it? That is exactly what the current govt wants all of us to be...DUMBOS! So that their sins will not be uncovered. Lame education. Feed feed feed!
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written by joeawk, November 05, 2008 15:41:58
As tainted as he has been, the way he can redeem himself would be to rid abuse of political power and institute political governance. Eliminate waste and corruption through accountability, transparency and corporate governance and focus on poverty eradication because before too long people power will triumph.

many a project are carried out to benefit the contractors so that there can be kickback, rather than the project being relevant or useful, especially upgrading work.

There can be no place for direct negotiation because like it or not, the only way to go in open tender.
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written by AsamLaksa, November 05, 2008 17:36:17
All economic stimulus packages do not greatly help the poor. That is a fact. Whatever model you follow be it economic or social planning, the ones in the bottom rung of the pyramid will only get a tiny fraction of the wealth. A lot of the wealth will be dissipate as it trickle down.

What the economic packages do is really to help prop up the status quo for better or worse. Most of the time it's a delay the eventual major changes needed. The vulnerabilities of the financial system will not disappear with major cash injections.

Whether the stimulus package is right or wrong is open to debate but I hope everyone will read issue with a critical eye.
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written by DreamLady, November 05, 2008 20:22:58
It does not make sense to cry over spilt milk, our politicians sweep carsass and garbage under carpet so that the Malaysian people could not see, until the trash becomes highly decomposed...

1. Eurocopter scandal has been 'cleared' by PAC based on one side of their investigation...but najib is thrilled to announce the coast is clear.

2. Razak Beginda is released without the evidences produced for further investigation, i.e. : Bala's SD, smses between Najib and shafiee are shoved aside to make way for speedy release...

3. The disappearance of attantuya and her cousin's immigration datas........., and the myth behind the personel who instructed the use of highly classified weaponry, C4 to bomb Attantuya's body has yet to be made known..

4. The disappearance of Bala....

5. Siphoning people's EPF saving at Najib's whims and fancies without permission from the contributors is an act of outright arrogance on DPM...........

...there are plenty more garbage to expose.. another time, another day, the people have the right to be informed, cos' Mlaysia belongs to all races, and the races have been working hard to make a bette place for every single rakyat. Yet, they are betrayed point blank by none other than the ones who are supposed to protect them, THE UMNO/BN DEMONS !!!!
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written by asguard, November 05, 2008 21:19:57
Najis is not a responsibility leader... there is no we shall trust him ...instead raise more questions than answers to be ask? Like EPF for Valuecap, eurocopter deals and more...
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